For expected claims technique, we needed an ultimate estimate for which we selected the \(\max(\text{Reported losses}, \text{Avg(Paid Ult, Rept Ult)})\) because a lot of our LDFs are negative and will downward develop.
Expected claims loss ratio adjustment
The premium levels of our initial expected claims ratio for 2010-2011 was at 2011… \(\dfrac{\text{Loss}}{\text{Premium}}\)
We multiply the denominator (Premium) by \(\dfrac{\text{Avg RL 20xx}}{\text{Avg RL 2011}}\) so that our earned premiums we are multiplying to the claims ratio and the earned premium in our claims ratio are consistent.