Introduction
- In the absence of technical progress the economy is expected to grow at a constant rate
- is the net investment
- is the gross investment
- capital deepening
- capital widening
Beauty of the Model
Positive effect: net investment
Negative effect: gross investment (depreciation and boom in population)
In the long run, both of them are getting used up.
The economy will eventually converge back to
- it is not in the economy’s fate to remain at If there is technical progress, the economy will eventually shift
Assumptions
- We assume, there is no change in technological progress / productivity/ .
- We assume that the labor force growing over time at an exogenous rate
- We assume that
- We assume that constant fraction of the existing capital stock, depreciates each period.
- So the total depreciation is .
Explanation
The steady state balanced growth is defined to be a situation where are growing at the same rate over a period of time.
In equilibrium(or Steady State - Balanced Growth Model) where is the investment-per-worker and is the gross-investment-per-worker, which is needed to keep the unchanged for the labor-force growing at .1
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The steady-state value of and are depicted as and .
To the left of , so, and thus, would increase towards . (capital deepening)
On the right of , our so, and thus, would decrease towards . (capital widening)
Thus, the converges to from either directions.
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In the long run, the steady-state (balanced growth) without productivity change are growing at the same rate .
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In the steady-state, the positive impact of investment on , just balances the negative effects of Depreciation and the growth of labor force.
Technical Progress and Growth
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With remaining unchanged, the system has a tendency to converge at . If there is rise in the productivity from even if unchanged, the economy will move to a new steady state, with higher and .
Limitations
- The technical progress captured by has been taken to be determined exogenously. (we don’t know2)
- This model
- ignores entrepreneurship
- ignores the strength of the institutions
- Too much of sticking to3 INADA conditions.
Footnotes
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Labor needs capital to work, but depreciates at over time and thus we need to ensure that the existing labor has enough capital to work with, thus we increase capital by over time. But labor is also growing at a rate of and so for the new labor, we need to increase the existing capital by . Thus the total (gross) investment is ↩
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This was explained by Endogenous Growth Model ↩
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Stickiness ↩