Lecture 5 Methodology Types of Empirical Studies

  • Introduction
    • Economists and psychologists. Different empirical methods, reflecting their distinct focus
    • Economists: field studies
    • Psychologists: experimental studies
  • Types of Empirical Studies
    1. Field Studies
      • Real-world setting. Observation
      • Preferred to analyze market behavior, policy impact and group dynamics
    2. Experimental Studies
      • Controlled environment, manipulation of variables to test hypothesis
      • to study individual motivation and decision-making process
    3. Either type
      1. Between-subjects:
        • Compare different group of subject
        • each group with a different condition/taskks
        • e.g. group 1: immediate gratification, group 2: delayed gratification
      2. Within-subjects:
        • Examine same subject under different conditions or tasks
        • e.g. Same subject for both immediate and delayed gratification
  • Preference for the Types of Empirical Studies
    • Economists rely more on field studies
    • Focus on Behavior
      • \(E:\) Study what they do rather than why they do?
      • \(P:\) focus on why people behave as they do
    • Group Behavior and Markets
      • \(E:\) prioritize studying group behavior over individual behavior
    • Challenges with experiments
      • \(E:\) impractical and unethical
        • e.g. govt may avoid experimenting with tax policies and subsidies
      • Overcome challenges of observational studies (manipulation of recent variables) by using sophisticated econometric techniques.
  • Field Studies in Economics and BE
    • Observe real-world decision made by individuals in natural settings
    • e.g.
      • Choice between energy-efficient and cheaper alternatives
      • Betting choices
      • Investment decisions
      • Consumers responses to promotional offers
      • 1998 study in Israel: Day care: fine for coming late... Now... lateness has a price... you can purchase their time... market like incentives crowd out social preferences.
        • After the fine ended, the parents were habituated to coming late
        • Reason as to why wasn't known. As we didn't have the data for that
  • Advantages of Field Studies
    • High ecological validity: Results reflective real world behavior
    • No concerns about artificiality
  • Challenges of Field Studies
    • Conceptual Validity: may not always measure what they intend to measure
      • Confounds: results depend on two or more effects which cannot be isolated from each other
      • Early morning classes. Students are inattentive:
        • Due to content being boring?
        • Due to content being available somewhere else?
        • Due to feeling sleepy early in the morning?
        • Due to not having food in the morning?
        • You cannot isolate these causes, how do you know how much effect is being contributed by each?
    • Factors for choosing an inefficient alternative
      1. Ignorance of future cost savings (not aware)
      2. Disbelief or uncertainty about future savings
      3. Cash constraints preventing higher upfront costs
      4. Hidden costs related to more expensive appliances (e.g. maintainence)
      5. Random decision or inability to grasp future advantages
  • The Rapprochement
    • Psychologists took interests in economics
    • Experimental economics is recognized, pioneered largely by Vernon Smith
  • Experimental Studies in Psychology and BE
    • Expt studies involving manipulating real or hypothetical scenarios to observe subject behavior
    • Advantages over field / observational studies
      • Greater control over variables
      • e.g. Subjects bet more against a shabbily dressed, diffident opponent than a confident professionally dressed one, even though outcomes are based on chance.
    • Types of rewards
      • Real rewards: motivate subjects to behave as in real life to increase predictive accuracy
      • Hypothetical rewards: "Imagine you are...", offers flexibility, enabling studies of an otherwise difficult to perform nature.
      • Kirby & Marakovic compared discounting under both situations:
        • For hypothetical rewards, discount rates were lower.
    • Design and Interpretation of Experiment
      • Experiments can reveal insights into factors that are impractical to study observationally
      • But economists criticize Behavioral experiments
  • Reason for Criticism
    1. Flawed Experimental Design
      1. Use of financial incentives
        • \(E:\) financial incentives ensure real-world like behavior
        • \(P:\) fin incentives might overshadow intrinsic interest
        • Evidence: mixed evidence
      2. Use of Deception
        • Common in psychology
        • Justified
          1. Directly telling the purpose of the experiment might influence the behavior
          2. Experiments that would otherwise be not possible to observe
        • Problem: Subjects become cynical... need naive participants (e.g., freshman students)
      3. Lack of Control
        • Insufficient control \(\implies\) confounded effects
        • e.g. Endowment effect
    2. Issues with Interpretation of Experiments
      • Can lab findings be generalized to real-world behavior?
      • No! It is influenced by context... so extrapolation is difficult
        • Morals and Ethics
        • Nature and extent of scrutiny of one's actions by others ("I am being watched")
        • context ("not natural")
        • self-selection of the individuals making the decisions
        • the stakes of the game (large rewards vs small rewards will lead to different behaviors)
      • Experimental Economists are criticized for making broad claims based on limited data
      • Cherry-picking of results: report only ones that support your theory/purpose and don't report contradictions
    3. Issues with Treatment of Assumptions
      • Relaxing one assumption can have a knock-off effects
      • Modelers need to take all assumptions as a set and check how many need to be modified so that the new set is self-consistent
  • Purpose of study: Field vs Experimental
    1. Parameter Estimation
      • \(F:\) for estimating real world params (e.g. price elasticity of demand)
      • Advantage: high ecological validity
    2. Theory testing
      • \(E:\) Test competing theories
      • Advantage: Control, replication and manipulation... Identify the best fitting theory
  • Extra-Laboratory experiments
    • Recently proposed
    • Hybrid approach incorporating elements of field studies too
    • Conducted in the field while controlling for various factors to investigate the effect
    • Without subject's awareness (ecological validity)
    • Follow-up to laboratory experiments (to highlight the drawbacks of lab experiments... helps us understand thevalidity)
    • This enables Larger Subject Pools and more diverse participation than lab experiments
    • Useful for evaluating the Effectiveness of policy in a real-world setting.