Lecture 2 BE in Relation to other Sciences & Economics
Introduction - Economics
Economic phenomena relate to
any aspect of human behavior
involving allocation of scarce resources
e.g. Each and every decision in life can be driven by some concept in economics
Assumptions are required
Some are explicitly stated, others hidden
to diagnose issue, verify the logical consistency between assumptions and predictions
What is Behavioral Economics?
Embed, not replace equilibrium models
Here, only to solve anomalies
Standard Models and Economics
Called mainstream economics
Standard theory is highly incomplete
We should be careful in assuming that a standard model is complete (Because it may not be, like classical mechanics was thrashed by quantum mechanics)
In econ: Neoclassical Model (NM) was the standard model
By 1970s, it was understood that it is incomplete
More behavioral concepts have been adopted and the standard model has been revised
We should benchmark BE against a static Neoclassical model rather than against a dynamic Standard model that keeps changing now and then.
Economics to BE
Heart of of many debates in BE, methodological considerations
Economic Rationality
Standard model in Neoclassical tradition, claims to be both descriptive (description: I study 2 minutes) and normative (norms: I should study for 2 hours)
A model cannot be simultaneously normative and descriptive
Positive & Normative (book)
Positive Statements
Relate to descriptions involving factual information
can be judged for correctness based on empirical observations
Normative statements relate to value judgements, is subjective
Non-normative Statements
We can contextualize: "Firm A ought to pay its workers a higher wage if it wants to maximize profit"
This can be evaluated empirically. But one can also question the social value of profit (seperate issue)
Normative Statements
Behavior as it should be
(descriptive)
Prefer calling it prescriptive rather than descriptive
Prescriptive vs Descriptive Statements
"In firm A's situation, a higher wage will maximize profit"
More precise prescription: Determine the specific level of wage that would maximize profit.
Prescriptive Statements
Positive & Normative
A statement can either be positive (stating facts) or normative (telling how things should be/ought be). Positive statements are easy to identify, one may say. However, we should understand the logical implication of the statements and then judge whether the implication fits into one of the categories
Positive
Normative(value Judgement)
Normative (prescriptive)
\(S_{1}:\) It is not fair that Firm A pays its workers such low wage
A fact
Positive statement
Can be empirically determined
\(S_{2}:\) Firm A should pay its workers a higher wage.
Its something that the firm "should" or "ought to" do
It is a value judgement
Cannot be empirically determined
\(S_{3}:\) Firm A should pay its workers a higher wage if it wants to maximized profits
It's still something that the firm "should" do. However...
It is something that can be empirically determined. This is because its contextual. IF the firm wants to maximize profits. Meaning, if the firm pays a higher wage, we can check whether profits are maximized or not
So, let's call these statements prescriptive
Prescriptive statements suggest how people should behave to reach certain goals.
\(S_{4}:\) In Firm A's situation, a higher wage will maximize profits
It is descriptive, but in a logical sense it is prescriptive. Because you are giving a suggestion, and essentially meaning the same thing as \(S_{3}\).
So, this is also prescriptive
A more precise prescription would be to also mention the specific level of wage that would maximize profits
Value Judgements
We are not interest in whether a value judgement is justified or not, rather we want to figure out why people make certain value judgements.
Purely rational models fail to explain actual behavior in complex economic models.
Rationality vs Irrationality
Actual-response strategies deviate from the best-response path
Economic Rationality
Vernon Smith etc judge rationality by systemic outcomes, and so rationality = market efficiency
Kahneman, Tversky etc use standard model as benchmark
there are irrationality
But systematic errors and biases do not necessarily constitute irrational behavior #doubt
Rationality in Psychology
Pursuit of Enlightened self-interest
enlightened is perfect knowledge (unreal)
"long-run self-interest" makes more sense
Bounded rationality: self-interest is satisfied rather than optimized HOOMAN
Is "Pursuing" = maximizing?
use heuristics, under time-constraints and incomplete information
Suboptimal outcomes: Misjudgements of self-interest. If faculty members are surveyed, 90% of them consider themselves to be above-average. But then the average is violated, only 50% of them should have said that they are above average. This comes from overconfidence or optimism
Self-interest is measured in terms of utility (subjective)
BE distinguishes between "self-regarding" and "other-regarding" both of which can be combined in the utility function
Behavioral Perspective on Economic Rationality
"Arational": neither rational nor irrational
Irrationality with intention
So does rationality pertain only to actions or also attitude and believe?
Belief formation may be beyond conscious control
Nature of the Neoclassical Model (NM)
"Pursuing enlightened self-interest" has a lot of ambiguities
enlightened is quite a problematic term
Economists avoid this by using a more precise and formal model of rational behavior in the NM
doesn't assume enlightenment but puts a lot of assumptions that restricts an individual's behavior